Rand Honeymoon
SA markets and economy

Is the honeymoon over for the Rand and the JSE?

The sacking of Finance Minister Nhlanhla Nene for no other reason than to get Treasury’s approval for a disastrous deal by SAA on 9/12 became our own 9/11 disaster. In the aftermath of the sacking, the Rand weakened to R16.85 and government bond yields shot up to 10.5% as mostly foreigners sold South African assets.

SA markets and economy

Quo Vadis Rand?

Where are you going Rand? Since Jan 2011 the Rand has seen a dramatic fall. Not 105% as indicated in the graph below. The correct way to calculate the decline is by using the inverse of the Rand/$ quote, namely US cents/Rand. The Rand fell from about R6.50 (15.38 US cents per Rand) to R14

SA markets and economy

The JSE defies gravity …. for now!

As I wrote in my previous blog post, iTrade Fantasy League Announcement, share prices on the JSE have run far ahead of earnings expectations. The JSE All Share Index increased by more than 30%, from 38,000 on 24 June 2013 to 50,000 in May 2014. This was much more than earnings (profit) growth with the

Rand/$ Year to June 2013
SA markets and economy

Don’t be fooled by the Lucky Quarter of our Balance of Payments!

So most economists were surprised by the narrowing of the Current Account deficit of the Balance of Payments from 6.5% of GDP to 5.8%, especially whilst forecasts expected it to widen to 7% or more. On top of that the Capital Account registered even bigger inflows than the 4th quarter while we were worried that

Educational and learning materialSA markets and economy

Investor Education Series: Evaluating the market – The International Economy

Evaluating the market – The International Economy South Africa has a very open economy and is therefore affected by global events. Open economy means that imports and exports constitute a large percentage of our GDP. The equity market is particularly sensitive to global events because of the effect on our currency and economy. Global Economic